ITF M25 Lausanne1/8-finals🟤 Clay, Outdoor
B. Baker
🇬🇧 B. Baker
United Kingdom
ITF #1361
vs
H. Bernet
🇨🇭 H. Bernet
Switzerland
ITF #423
Thursday, 27 August 2026·14:00 CET
★ Our Pick · Match Winner

H. Bernet to Win

The ranking edge (#423 vs #1361) makes H. Bernet the favourite, at a 92% win probability.

1.11
Best Odds
Value found: Bookmakers price H. Bernet to Win at 1.11 (implied 90.1%). Our experts give 92%, a fair price of 1.09 — an edge of 2.0 points.

Betting Predictions

Match Winner
B. Baker to Win5.70
8% expert probability

Our experts give B. Baker a 8% win probability on clay.

Implied 18%Select →
Match Winner
H. Bernet to Win1.11
92% expert probability

Our experts give H. Bernet a 92% win probability on clay.

Implied 90%Select →
🟤Total Games
Total Games Over 18.51.62
57% expert probability

Our experts make this 57% likely.

Implied 62%Select →
🟤Total Sets
Total Sets Under 2.51.25
74% expert probability

Our experts make this 74% likely.

Implied 80%Select →
First Set
H. Bernet wins 1st set1.19
78% expert probability

Our experts make this 78% likely.

Implied 84%Select →
Set Betting
H. Bernet 2-01.44
60% expert probability

Our experts' most likely scoreline.

Implied 69%Select →
Straight Sets
H. Bernet in straight sets1.40
66% expert probability

66% to win without dropping a set.

Implied 71%Select →
Games Handicap
H. Bernet +6 games1.86
54% expert probability

Games spread for the favourite (market price).

Implied 54%Select →

Match Preview

B. Baker takes on H. Bernet at the M25 Lausanne, contested on clay. B. Baker enters ranked #1361 while H. Bernet sits at #423, a 938-place gulf that frames the matchup. It is a clash of contrasting recent fortunes, and the clay should have plenty to say about which way it turns.

H. Bernet is ranked #423 on the ITF tour with 114 ranking points.

B. Baker is ranked #1361 on the ITF tour with 7 ranking points.

B. Baker and H. Bernet have no prior tour-level meetings, adding an unknown to the read. Weighing rankings, form and the surface, our experts make H. Bernet the favourite at 92% to win, with B. Baker the live underdog if the price is right.

Why this pick

High

Ranking Advantage

H. Bernet (#423) is ranked 938 places above B. Baker (#1361).

The Players

B. Baker
🇬🇧 B. Baker
United Kingdom

B. Baker is a player from United Kingdom, currently ranked ITF #1361 with 7 ranking points.

Ranking
#1361
Points
7

No surface data.

H. Bernet
🇨🇭 H. Bernet
Switzerland

H. Bernet is a player from Switzerland, currently ranked ITF #423 with 114 ranking points.

Ranking
#423
Points
114

No surface data.

Player Overview

🇬🇧 B. BakerPlayer Overview
B. Baker

B. Baker is ranked ITF #1361 with 7 ranking points.

Match Results: B. BakerAll tournaments

No recent matches.

🇨🇭 H. BernetPlayer Overview
H. Bernet

H. Bernet is ranked ITF #423 with 114 ranking points.

Match Results: H. BernetAll tournaments

No recent matches.

Predictions are our experts' estimates for informational purposes. 18+ · Please gamble responsibly.