ITF M25 Taipei 21/8-finals🔵 Hard, Outdoor
H. Koyama
🇯🇵 H. Koyama
Japan
ITF #1156
vs
L. Castelnuovo
🇨🇭 L. Castelnuovo
Switzerland
ITF #455
Thursday, 27 August 2026·03:30 CET
★ Our Pick · Match Winner

L. Castelnuovo to Win

The ranking edge (#455 vs #1156) makes L. Castelnuovo the favourite, at a 82% win probability.

1.25
Best Odds
Value found: Bookmakers price L. Castelnuovo to Win at 1.25 (implied 80.0%). Our experts give 82%, a fair price of 1.22 — an edge of 2.0 points.

Betting Predictions

🔵Match Winner
H. Koyama to Win3.48
18% expert probability

Our experts give H. Koyama a 18% win probability on hard.

Implied 29%Select →
Match Winner
L. Castelnuovo to Win1.25
82% expert probability

Our experts give L. Castelnuovo a 82% win probability on hard.

Implied 80%Select →
🔵Total Games
Total Games Under 21.51.80
51% expert probability

Our experts make this 51% likely.

Implied 56%Select →
🔵Total Sets
Total Sets Under 2.51.38
67% expert probability

Our experts make this 67% likely.

Implied 72%Select →
First Set
L. Castelnuovo wins 1st set1.36
67% expert probability

Our experts make this 67% likely.

Implied 74%Select →
Set Betting
L. Castelnuovo 2-01.73
51% expert probability

Our experts' most likely scoreline.

Implied 58%Select →
Straight Sets
L. Castelnuovo in straight sets1.80
51% expert probability

51% to win without dropping a set.

Implied 56%Select →
Games Handicap
L. Castelnuovo +4.5 games2.00
50% expert probability

Games spread for the favourite (market price).

Implied 50%Select →

Match Preview

H. Koyama takes on L. Castelnuovo at the M25 Taipei 2, contested on hard courts. H. Koyama enters ranked #1156 while L. Castelnuovo sits at #455, a 701-place gulf that frames the matchup. It is a clash of contrasting recent fortunes, and the hard courts should have plenty to say about which way it turns.

L. Castelnuovo is ranked #455 on the ITF tour with 102 ranking points.

H. Koyama is ranked #1156 on the ITF tour with 12 ranking points.

H. Koyama and L. Castelnuovo have no prior tour-level meetings, adding an unknown to the read. Weighing rankings, form and the surface, our experts make L. Castelnuovo the favourite at 82% to win, with H. Koyama the live underdog if the price is right.

Why this pick

High

Ranking Advantage

L. Castelnuovo (#455) is ranked 701 places above H. Koyama (#1156).

The Players

H. Koyama
🇯🇵 H. Koyama
Japan

H. Koyama is a player from Japan, currently ranked ITF #1156 with 12 ranking points.

Ranking
#1156
Points
12

No surface data.

L. Castelnuovo
🇨🇭 L. Castelnuovo
Switzerland

L. Castelnuovo is a player from Switzerland, currently ranked ITF #455 with 102 ranking points.

Ranking
#455
Points
102

No surface data.

Player Overview

🇯🇵 H. KoyamaPlayer Overview
H. Koyama

H. Koyama is ranked ITF #1156 with 12 ranking points.

Match Results: H. KoyamaAll tournaments

No recent matches.

🇨🇭 L. CastelnuovoPlayer Overview
L. Castelnuovo

L. Castelnuovo is ranked ITF #455 with 102 ranking points.

Match Results: L. CastelnuovoAll tournaments

No recent matches.

Predictions are our experts' estimates for informational purposes. 18+ · Please gamble responsibly.