ITF M25 Poznan1/8-finals🟤 Clay, Outdoor
M. Cerny
🇨🇿 M. Cerny
Czech Republic
ITF #771
vs
K. Filar
🇵🇱 K. Filar
Poland
ITF #573
Thursday, 27 August 2026·10:00 CET
★ Our Pick · Match Winner

M. Cerny to Win

The bookmaker price makes M. Cerny the favourite here, at a 68% win probability, despite a lower ranking (#771 vs #573).

1.52
Best Odds
Value found: Bookmakers price M. Cerny to Win at 1.52 (implied 65.8%). Our experts give 68%, a fair price of 1.48 — an edge of 2.0 points.

Betting Predictions

Match Winner
M. Cerny to Win1.52
68% expert probability

Our experts give M. Cerny a 68% win probability on clay.

Implied 66%Select →
Match Winner
K. Filar to Win2.35
32% expert probability

Our experts give K. Filar a 32% win probability on clay.

Implied 43%Select →
🟤Total Games
Total Games Over 20.51.82
51% expert probability

Our experts make this 51% likely.

Implied 55%Select →
🟤Total Sets
Total Sets Under 2.51.44
64% expert probability

Our experts make this 64% likely.

Implied 69%Select →
First Set
M. Cerny wins 1st set1.57
59% expert probability

Our experts make this 59% likely.

Implied 64%Select →
Set Betting
M. Cerny 2-02.20
40% expert probability

Our experts' most likely scoreline.

Implied 45%Select →
Straight Sets
M. Cerny in straight sets2.20
42% expert probability

42% to win without dropping a set.

Implied 45%Select →
Games Handicap
M. Cerny -3.5 games1.92
52% expert probability

Games spread for the favourite (market price).

Implied 52%Select →

Match Preview

M. Cerny takes on K. Filar at the M25 Poznan, contested on clay. M. Cerny enters ranked #771 while K. Filar sits at #573, a 198-place gulf that frames the matchup. It is a clash of contrasting recent fortunes, and the clay should have plenty to say about which way it turns.

M. Cerny is ranked #771 on the ITF tour with 38 ranking points.

K. Filar is ranked #573 on the ITF tour with 68 ranking points.

M. Cerny and K. Filar have no prior tour-level meetings, adding an unknown to the read. Weighing rankings, form and the surface, our experts make M. Cerny the favourite at 68% to win, with K. Filar the live underdog if the price is right.

Why this pick

High

Ranking Advantage

K. Filar (#573) is ranked 198 places above M. Cerny (#771).

The Players

M. Cerny
🇨🇿 M. Cerny
Czech Republic

M. Cerny is a player from Czech Republic, currently ranked ITF #771 with 38 ranking points.

Ranking
#771
Points
38

No surface data.

K. Filar
🇵🇱 K. Filar
Poland

K. Filar is a player from Poland, currently ranked ITF #573 with 68 ranking points.

Ranking
#573
Points
68

No surface data.

Player Overview

🇨🇿 M. CernyPlayer Overview
M. Cerny

M. Cerny is ranked ITF #771 with 38 ranking points.

Match Results: M. CernyAll tournaments

No recent matches.

🇵🇱 K. FilarPlayer Overview
K. Filar

K. Filar is ranked ITF #573 with 68 ranking points.

Match Results: K. FilarAll tournaments

No recent matches.

Predictions are our experts' estimates for informational purposes. 18+ · Please gamble responsibly.