ITF M15 Cap d'Agde1/8-finals🟤 Clay, Outdoor
M. Chazal
🇫🇷 M. Chazal
France
ITF #425
vs
D. Bagnolini
🇮🇹 D. Bagnolini
Italy
ITF #1687
Thursday, 27 August 2026·11:30 CET
★ Our Pick · Match Winner

M. Chazal to Win

The ranking edge (#425 vs #1687) makes M. Chazal the favourite, at a 97% win probability.

1.05
Best Odds
Value found: Bookmakers price M. Chazal to Win at 1.05 (implied 95.2%). Our experts give 97%, a fair price of 1.03 — an edge of 1.8 points.

Betting Predictions

Match Winner
M. Chazal to Win1.05
97% expert probability

Our experts give M. Chazal a 97% win probability on clay.

Implied 95%Select →
Match Winner
D. Bagnolini to Win8.50
3% expert probability

Our experts give D. Bagnolini a 3% win probability on clay.

Implied 12%Select →
🟤Total Games
Total Games Under 17.51.80
51% expert probability

Our experts make this 51% likely.

Implied 56%Select →
First Set
M. Chazal wins 1st set1.10
86% expert probability

Our experts make this 86% likely.

Implied 91%Select →
Set Betting
M. Chazal 2-01.22
71% expert probability

Our experts' most likely scoreline.

Implied 82%Select →
Straight Sets
M. Chazal in straight sets1.22
77% expert probability

77% to win without dropping a set.

Implied 82%Select →
Games Handicap
M. Chazal -6.5 games1.66
60% expert probability

Games spread for the favourite (market price).

Implied 60%Select →

Match Preview

M. Chazal takes on D. Bagnolini at the M15 Cap d'Agde, contested on clay. M. Chazal enters ranked #425 while D. Bagnolini sits at #1687, a 1262-place gulf that frames the matchup. It is a clash of contrasting recent fortunes, and the clay should have plenty to say about which way it turns.

M. Chazal is ranked #425 on the ITF tour with 113 ranking points.

D. Bagnolini is ranked #1687 on the ITF tour with 3 ranking points.

M. Chazal and D. Bagnolini have no prior tour-level meetings, adding an unknown to the read. Weighing rankings, form and the surface, our experts make M. Chazal the favourite at 97% to win, with D. Bagnolini the live underdog if the price is right.

Why this pick

High

Ranking Advantage

M. Chazal (#425) is ranked 1262 places above D. Bagnolini (#1687).

The Players

M. Chazal
🇫🇷 M. Chazal
France

M. Chazal is a player from France, currently ranked ITF #425 with 113 ranking points.

Ranking
#425
Points
113

No surface data.

D. Bagnolini
🇮🇹 D. Bagnolini
Italy

D. Bagnolini is a player from Italy, currently ranked ITF #1687 with 3 ranking points.

Ranking
#1687
Points
3

No surface data.

Player Overview

🇫🇷 M. ChazalPlayer Overview
M. Chazal

M. Chazal is ranked ITF #425 with 113 ranking points.

Match Results: M. ChazalAll tournaments

No recent matches.

🇮🇹 D. BagnoliniPlayer Overview
D. Bagnolini

D. Bagnolini is ranked ITF #1687 with 3 ranking points.

Match Results: D. BagnoliniAll tournaments

No recent matches.

Predictions are our experts' estimates for informational purposes. 18+ · Please gamble responsibly.