Astana
Aug 9–16
The Final
Key Results
🇹🇳A. Dougaz6165
🇯🇵H. Matsuoka✓0677
🇹🇳A. Dougaz✓467
🇺🇿S. Fomin615
🇯🇵H. Matsuoka✓366
🇺🇿K. Sultanov634
🇨🇳J. Cui265
🇹🇳A. Dougaz✓647
🇺🇿K. Sultanov✓776
🇹🇷M. Alkaya653
🇨🇳F. Sun55
🇯🇵H. Matsuoka✓77
🇺🇿S. Fomin✓66
🇯🇵M. Imamura21Our Prediction Accuracy
| Round | Accuracy |
|---|---|
| Semi-finals | 71% |
| Final | 71% |
| 1/16-finals | 75% |
| 1/8-finals | 62% |
| Quarter-finals | 50% |
All Results
49 matchesFinal · 1 match
Accuracy: 71%
🇹🇳A. Dougaz6165
🇯🇵H. Matsuoka✓0677Semi-finals · 2 matches
Accuracy: 71%
🇯🇵H. Matsuoka✓366
🇺🇿K. Sultanov634
🇹🇳A. Dougaz✓467
🇺🇿S. Fomin615Quarter-finals · 4 matches
Accuracy: 50%
🇺🇿S. Fomin✓66
🇯🇵M. Imamura21
🇨🇳F. Sun55
🇯🇵H. Matsuoka✓77
🇺🇿K. Sultanov✓776
🇹🇷M. Alkaya653
🇨🇳J. Cui265
🇹🇳A. Dougaz✓6471/8-finals · 8 matches
Accuracy: 62%
🇦🇷L. Ratti45
🇺🇿K. Sultanov✓67
🇯🇵T. Kumasaka41
🇯🇵H. Matsuoka✓66
🇨🇳F. Sun✓4776
🎾S. Pankin6643
🇰🇿B. Zhukayev34
🇹🇷M. Alkaya✓66
🎾E. Arutiunian34
🇯🇵M. Imamura✓66
🎾P. Biryukov42
🇨🇳J. Cui✓66
🇺🇿S. Fomin✓66
🇹🇭K. Samrej14
🇹🇳A. Dougaz✓76
🇮🇳M. Dhamne531/16-finals · 16 matches
Accuracy: 75%
🎾S. Pankin✓66
🇨🇿D. Palan14
🇯🇵K. Matsuda34
🇯🇵H. Matsuoka✓66
🇦🇷L. Ratti✓66
🇦🇺T. Sach33
🇺🇿K. Sultanov✓66
🇮🇹A. Binda32
🇹🇳A. Ouakaa34
🇨🇳J. Cui✓66
🇺🇦V. Ursu462
🇮🇳M. Dhamne✓677
🎾P. Biryukov✓66
🇯🇵T. Ichikawa23
🇰🇿A. Omarkhanov34
🇰🇿B. Zhukayev✓66
🇯🇵T. Kumasaka✓677
🎾C. Sinclair264
🇮🇳S. Rawat24
🇹🇷M. Alkaya✓66
🇨🇳F. Sun✓636
🇯🇵M. Imamura✓776
🇫🇷A. Ghibaudo633
🇰🇷S. Shin1664
🎾E. Arutiunian✓6177
🇹🇭K. Samrej✓566
🇯🇵K. Isomura704
🇹🇳A. Dougaz✓626
🇳🇱A. Deckers363
🇺🇿S. Fomin✓74
🎾M. Zhukov51Qualifying Final · 6 matchesQualifying
🇯🇵K. Isomura✓1776
🇮🇳M. Sasikumar6633
🎾E. Arutiunian✓66
🎾E. Agafonov635
🇳🇱A. Deckers✓777
🇮🇳S. Rawat✓777
🇯🇵T. Ichikawa✓636
🇮🇳K. Singh361
🎾C. Sinclair✓656Qualifying Semi-finals · 12 matchesQualifying
🇯🇵K. Isomura✓66
🇰🇷U. Park22
🇰🇿Y. Yerdilda01
🇳🇱A. Deckers✓776
🇮🇳M. Sasikumar✓66
🎾D. Ostapenkov1
🎾E. Agafonov✓3
🎾E. Pleshivtsev33
🎾E. Arutiunian✓66
🎾M. Borisiouk463
🇮🇳K. Singh✓636
🇰🇷H. Chung54
🇯🇵T. Ichikawa✓76
🇺🇦Y. Dzhavakian43
🇮🇳S. Rawat✓66
🇬🇪A. Bakshi33
🇹🇭P. Sornlaksup6364
🎾C. Sinclair✓77666
🎾A. Kachmazov63782Venue & Surface Analysis
Hard — Hard courts sit between clay and grass: a true, medium-paced bounce that rewards all-round baseline quality. Form and consistency travel better here than on the more specialised surfaces.
A volatile draw — the higher-ranked player won only 68% of matches, so underdog value was plentiful. Biggest upset: A. Dougaz (#629) def. M. Dhamne (#368) — 1/8-finals.
Tournament Records
| Longest Match | 32 games | F. Sun def. S. Pankin 4-6 7-6(7) 6-3 · 1/8-finals |
| Best Comeback | from a set down | K. Samrej def. K. Isomura 5-7 6-0 6-4 · 1/16-finals |
| Most One-Sided | 6-2 6-1 | S. Fomin def. M. Imamura · Quarter-finals |
Next Edition
Astana 2027
Aug 8–15, 2027 · 322 days away — back on hard, with H. Matsuoka defending the title. Dates are projected from this edition and confirmed once the tour calendar is published.
Our experts publish predictions and value picks for every singles match as soon as the 2027 draw is released.
Frequently Asked Questions
What surface is Astana played on?
Astana is played on hard (outdoor).
Who won Astana 2026?
H. Matsuoka won the title, defeating A. Dougaz 0-6 6-1 7-6(7).
Who was the runner-up at Astana?
A. Dougaz finished as runner-up, losing the final 0-6 6-1 7-6(7) to H. Matsuoka.
When is the next Astana?
The 2027 edition is expected Aug 8–15, 2027 — about 322 days from now. Dates are projected until the official tour calendar confirms them.
How did the matches play out?
Across 31 completed matches the average was 21.7 games, 71% finished in straight sets and 29% went the full distance, with 7 tiebreak sets played.
How accurate were the predictions?
Our experts went 34/49 (69% win rate) at this event.
Astana Predictions & Betting Tips
My Tennis Tips publishes data-driven predictions for every singles match at Astana, a ITF ITF event played on hard. Our experts weight hard-court form, recent results, head-to-head history and market odds to produce a win probability and a value read for each match.
On hard courts, all-round baseline quality and consistency tend to dominate, which our experts capture through recent form and head-to-head data. Predictions are published as soon as the draw is released and updated with the latest odds on match day.
How to bet on Astana
- Match winner — our headline pick for every singles match, with the fair odds our experts calculate alongside the bookmaker price so you can see the edge.
- Set betting and totals — hard shapes match length. At this edition 71% of matches finished in straight sets and the average match ran 21.7 games, which is the number to hold against any over/under line.
- Outright winner — the draw means seeding and section quality matter as much as form. Look for players whose game suits the conditions rather than the highest ranking.
- Underdogs — the higher-ranked player won 68% of matches here, so price your upsets accordingly.
Odds move quickly once a draw is released. We recompare prices on match day and only flag a value bet when our probability is meaningfully ahead of the implied bookmaker chance — never simply because a price looks big.
