M15 Bastad
Aug 18–23
The Final
Key Results
🇸🇪L. Borg623
🇩🇪N. Guttau✓466
🇸🇪L. Borg✓67
🇸🇪J. Lithen35
🇩🇪N. Guttau✓646
🇸🇪J. Mridha651
🇸🇪L. Borg✓646
🇸🇪J. Lithen✓66
🇩🇪N. Guttau✓366Our Prediction Accuracy
| Round | Accuracy |
|---|---|
| 1/16-finals | 88% |
| 1/8-finals | 50% |
| Quarter-finals | 75% |
| Semi-finals | 100% |
| Final | 0% |
All Results
31 matchesFinal · 1 match
Accuracy: 0%
🇸🇪L. Borg623
🇩🇪N. Guttau✓466Semi-finals · 2 matches
Accuracy: 100%
🇩🇪N. Guttau✓646
🇸🇪L. Borg✓67
🇸🇪J. Lithen35Quarter-finals · 4 matches
Accuracy: 75%
🇩🇪N. Guttau✓366
🇸🇪J. Lithen✓66
🇸🇪L. Borg✓646
🇸🇪J. Mridha6511/8-finals · 8 matches
Accuracy: 50%
🇸🇪J. Mridha✓76
🇳🇴H. Hoeyeraal53
🇩🇪N. Guttau✓66
🇮🇹A. Battiston22
🇸🇪L. Borg✓66
🇸🇪K. Friberg03
🇸🇪G. Saba32
🇸🇪W. Vinciguerra372
🇸🇪J. Lithen✓66
🇩🇪N. Larwig301/16-finals · 16 matches
Accuracy: 88%
🇸🇪N. Slavic642
🇸🇪G. Saba✓635
🇩🇪N. Guttau✓66
🇮🇹A. Bacaloni43
🇸🇪J. Mridha✓677
🇺🇸O. Vasser364
🇸🇪K. Friberg✓65
🇸🇪L. Borg✓66
🎾L. Renard43
🇳🇴H. Hoeyeraal✓776
🇮🇹A. Battiston✓66
🇸🇪W. Vinciguerra✓066
🇩🇪N. Larwig✓366
🎾O. Moraing634
🇸🇪J. Lithen✓66
🎾J. Wistrand13Draw · Final Results
1/16-finals
1/8-finals
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Final
Venue & Surface Analysis
Clay — Clay is the slowest surface on tour. The ball bounces high and sits up, rallies run long and the serve is worth less — break points are more frequent and matches are decided by movement and stamina.
The form book held here — the higher-ranked player won 74% of matches, so favourites were worth backing. Biggest upset: J. Simonsson (#1748) def. W. Vinciguerra (#879) — 1/8-finals.
Tournament Records
| Longest Match | 30 games | K. Edengren def. V. J. 2-6 7-5 6-4 · 1/8-finals |
| Best Comeback | from a set down | W. Vinciguerra def. V. Ryden 0-6 6-3 6-1 · 1/16-finals |
| Most One-Sided | 6-0 5-0 | K. Friberg def. M. Kumar · 1/16-finals |
Next Edition
M15 Bastad 2027
Aug 17–22, 2027 · 331 days away — back on clay, with N. Guttau defending the title. Dates are projected from this edition and confirmed once the tour calendar is published.
Our experts publish predictions and value picks for every singles match as soon as the 2027 draw is released.
Frequently Asked Questions
What surface is M15 Bastad played on?
M15 Bastad is played on clay (outdoor).
Who won M15 Bastad 2026?
N. Guttau won the title, defeating L. Borg 4-6 6-2 6-3.
Who was the runner-up at M15 Bastad?
L. Borg finished as runner-up, losing the final 4-6 6-2 6-3 to N. Guttau.
When is the next M15 Bastad?
The 2027 edition is expected Aug 17–22, 2027 — about 331 days from now. Dates are projected until the official tour calendar confirms them.
How did the matches play out?
Across 31 completed matches the average was 20.7 games, 65% finished in straight sets and 35% went the full distance, with 4 tiebreak sets played.
How accurate were the predictions?
Our experts went 23/31 (74% win rate) at this event.
M15 Bastad Predictions & Betting Tips
My Tennis Tips publishes data-driven predictions for every singles match at M15 Bastad, a ITF ITF event played on clay. Our experts weight clay-court form, recent results, head-to-head history and market odds to produce a win probability and a value read for each match.
On clay, rally length and break-point conversion matter more than raw serve power, so our experts lean on surface-specific win rates and physical-endurance signals. Predictions are published as soon as the draw is released and updated with the latest odds on match day.
How to bet on M15 Bastad
- Match winner — our headline pick for every singles match, with the fair odds our experts calculate alongside the bookmaker price so you can see the edge.
- Set betting and totals — clay shapes match length. At this edition 65% of matches finished in straight sets and the average match ran 20.7 games, which is the number to hold against any over/under line.
- Outright winner — the draw means seeding and section quality matter as much as form. Look for players whose game suits the conditions rather than the highest ranking.
- Underdogs — the higher-ranked player won 74% of matches here, so price your upsets accordingly.
Odds move quickly once a draw is released. We recompare prices on match day and only flag a value bet when our probability is meaningfully ahead of the implied bookmaker chance — never simply because a price looks big.
