M25 Lesa
Aug 18–23
The Final
Key Results
🇮🇹P. Basile630
🇫🇷L. Lokoli✓366
🇫🇷L. Lokoli✓627
🇮🇹S. Seghetti165
🇮🇹P. Basile✓666
🇮🇹A. Weis723
🇮🇹G. Oradini42
🇮🇹A. Weis✓66
🇮🇹P. Basile✓66
🇦🇹N. Hipfl43
🇮🇹D. Rapagnetta33
🇫🇷L. Lokoli✓66
🇮🇹S. Seghetti✓66
🇮🇹A. Marchi12Our Prediction Accuracy
| Round | Accuracy |
|---|---|
| 1/16-finals | 62% |
| 1/8-finals | 75% |
| Quarter-finals | 75% |
| Semi-finals | 50% |
| Final | 100% |
All Results
31 matchesFinal · 1 match
Accuracy: 100%
🇮🇹P. Basile630
🇫🇷L. Lokoli✓366Semi-finals · 2 matches
Accuracy: 50%
🇮🇹P. Basile✓666
🇮🇹A. Weis723
🇫🇷L. Lokoli✓627
🇮🇹S. Seghetti165Quarter-finals · 4 matches
Accuracy: 75%
🇮🇹S. Seghetti✓66
🇮🇹A. Marchi12
🇮🇹D. Rapagnetta33
🇫🇷L. Lokoli✓66
🇮🇹P. Basile✓66
🇦🇹N. Hipfl43
🇮🇹G. Oradini42
🇮🇹A. Weis✓661/8-finals · 8 matches
Accuracy: 75%
🇮🇹D. Rapagnetta✓67
🇮🇹M. Mazza45
🇫🇷L. Lokoli✓66
🇮🇹S. Seghetti✓76
🇮🇹L. Rottoli52
🇦🇹N. Hipfl✓677
🎾S. Reitano363
🇬🇧B. Baker649
🇮🇹A. Marchi✓2611
🇮🇹P. Basile✓67
🇮🇹G. Oradini✓66
🇮🇷K. Rahmani747
🇮🇹A. Weis✓56101/16-finals · 16 matches
Accuracy: 62%
🇮🇹N. Catini723
🇮🇹A. Weis✓566
🇮🇹S. D'Agostino643
🇮🇹M. Mazza✓366
🇮🇹G. Ferrari20
🇮🇹S. Seghetti✓66
🇮🇹A. Marchi✓72
🇮🇹F. Forti51
🇮🇹P. Basile✓66
🇮🇹L. Beraldo13
🇮🇹G. Bosio364
🇮🇹L. Parenti264
🇬🇧B. Baker✓646
🇮🇹A. Spadola060
🇮🇹L. Rottoli✓636
🇦🇹N. Hipfl✓776
🇮🇹G. Piraino40
🎾S. Reitano✓79
🇮🇹F. Arnaboldi67
🇮🇹G. Oradini✓66
🇮🇷K. Rahmani✓76
🇮🇹G. Crisostomo53
🇫🇷M. Janvier465
🇮🇹D. Rapagnetta✓637
🇫🇷L. Lokoli✓66Draw · Final Results
1/16-finals
1/8-finals
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Final
Venue & Surface Analysis
Clay — Clay is the slowest surface on tour. The ball bounces high and sits up, rallies run long and the serve is worth less — break points are more frequent and matches are decided by movement and stamina.
A volatile draw — the higher-ranked player won only 69% of matches, so underdog value was plentiful. Biggest upset: S. Seghetti (#1678) def. G. Ferrari (#512) — 1/16-finals.
Tournament Records
| Longest Match | 39 games | A. Weis def. K. Rahmani 5-7 6-4 10-7 · 1/8-finals |
| Best Comeback | from a set down | A. Weis def. N. Catini 5-7 6-2 6-3 · 1/16-finals |
| Most One-Sided | 6-2 6-0 | S. Seghetti def. G. Ferrari · 1/16-finals |
Next Edition
M25 Lesa 2027
Aug 17–22, 2027 · 331 days away — back on clay, with L. Lokoli defending the title. Dates are projected from this edition and confirmed once the tour calendar is published.
Our experts publish predictions and value picks for every singles match as soon as the 2027 draw is released.
Frequently Asked Questions
What surface is M25 Lesa played on?
M25 Lesa is played on clay (outdoor).
Who won M25 Lesa 2026?
L. Lokoli won the title, defeating P. Basile 3-6 6-3 6-0.
Who was the runner-up at M25 Lesa?
P. Basile finished as runner-up, losing the final 3-6 6-3 6-0 to L. Lokoli.
When is the next M25 Lesa?
The 2027 edition is expected Aug 17–22, 2027 — about 331 days from now. Dates are projected until the official tour calendar confirms them.
How did the matches play out?
Across 31 completed matches the average was 21.7 games, 65% finished in straight sets and 35% went the full distance, with 4 tiebreak sets played.
How accurate were the predictions?
Our experts went 21/31 (68% win rate) at this event.
M25 Lesa Predictions & Betting Tips
My Tennis Tips publishes data-driven predictions for every singles match at M25 Lesa, a ITF ITF event played on clay. Our experts weight clay-court form, recent results, head-to-head history and market odds to produce a win probability and a value read for each match.
On clay, rally length and break-point conversion matter more than raw serve power, so our experts lean on surface-specific win rates and physical-endurance signals. Predictions are published as soon as the draw is released and updated with the latest odds on match day.
How to bet on M25 Lesa
- Match winner — our headline pick for every singles match, with the fair odds our experts calculate alongside the bookmaker price so you can see the edge.
- Set betting and totals — clay shapes match length. At this edition 65% of matches finished in straight sets and the average match ran 21.7 games, which is the number to hold against any over/under line.
- Outright winner — the draw means seeding and section quality matter as much as form. Look for players whose game suits the conditions rather than the highest ranking.
- Underdogs — the higher-ranked player won 69% of matches here, so price your upsets accordingly.
Odds move quickly once a draw is released. We recompare prices on match day and only flag a value bet when our probability is meaningfully ahead of the implied bookmaker chance — never simply because a price looks big.
