ITF M25 Maribor1/8-finals🟤 Clay, Outdoor
A. Jeran
🇸🇮 A. Jeran
Slovenia
ITF #1020
vs
A. de Marchi
🇮🇹 A. de Marchi
Italy
ITF #687
Thursday, 27 August 2026·11:30 CET
★ Our Pick · Match Winner

A. Marchi to Win

The ranking edge (#687 vs #1020) makes A. Marchi the favourite, at a 82% win probability.

1.25
Best Odds
Value found: Bookmakers price A. Marchi to Win at 1.25 (implied 80.0%). Our experts give 82%, a fair price of 1.22 — an edge of 2.0 points.

Betting Predictions

🟤Match Winner
A. Jeran to Win3.75
18% expert probability

Our experts give A. Jeran a 18% win probability on clay.

Implied 27%Select →
Match Winner
A. Marchi to Win1.25
82% expert probability

Our experts give A. Marchi a 82% win probability on clay.

Implied 80%Select →
🟤Total Games
Total Games Under 20.51.80
51% expert probability

Our experts make this 51% likely.

Implied 56%Select →
🟤Total Sets
Total Sets Under 2.51.36
68% expert probability

Our experts make this 68% likely.

Implied 74%Select →
First Set
A. Marchi wins 1st set1.33
71% expert probability

Our experts make this 71% likely.

Implied 75%Select →
Set Betting
A. Marchi 2-01.72
52% expert probability

Our experts' most likely scoreline.

Implied 58%Select →
Straight Sets
A. Marchi in straight sets1.72
54% expert probability

54% to win without dropping a set.

Implied 58%Select →
Games Handicap
A. Marchi +4.5 games1.80
56% expert probability

Games spread for the favourite (market price).

Implied 56%Select →

Match Preview

A. Jeran takes on A. de Marchi at the M25 Maribor, contested on clay. A. Jeran enters ranked #1020 while A. Marchi sits at #687, a 333-place gulf that frames the matchup. It is a clash of contrasting recent fortunes, and the clay should have plenty to say about which way it turns.

A. de Marchi is ranked #687 on the ITF tour with 48 ranking points.

A. Jeran is ranked #1020 on the ITF tour with 19 ranking points.

A. Jeran and A. Marchi have no prior tour-level meetings, adding an unknown to the read. Weighing rankings, form and the surface, our experts make A. Marchi the favourite at 82% to win, with A. Jeran the live underdog if the price is right.

Why this pick

High

Ranking Advantage

A. Marchi (#687) is ranked 333 places above A. Jeran (#1020).

The Players

A. Jeran
🇸🇮 A. Jeran
Slovenia

A. Jeran is a player from Slovenia, currently ranked ITF #1020 with 19 ranking points.

Ranking
#1020
Points
19

No surface data.

A. de Marchi
🇮🇹 A. de Marchi
Italy

A. de Marchi is a player from Italy, currently ranked ITF #687 with 48 ranking points.

Ranking
#687
Points
48

No surface data.

Player Overview

🇸🇮 A. JeranPlayer Overview
A. Jeran

A. Jeran is ranked ITF #1020 with 19 ranking points.

Match Results: A. JeranAll tournaments

No recent matches.

🇮🇹 A. de MarchiPlayer Overview
A. de Marchi

A. de Marchi is ranked ITF #687 with 48 ranking points.

Match Results: A. de MarchiAll tournaments

No recent matches.

Predictions are our experts' estimates for informational purposes. 18+ · Please gamble responsibly.