ITF M25 Maribor1/8-finals🟤 Clay, Outdoor
S. Pieri
🇮🇹 S. Pieri
Italy
ITF #393
vs
N. Toffanin
🇮🇹 N. Toffanin
Italy
ITF #1195
Thursday, 27 August 2026·10:00 CET
★ Our Pick · Match Winner

S. Pieri to Win

The ranking edge (#393 vs #1195) makes S. Pieri the favourite, at a 97% win probability.

1.01
Best Odds
Value found: Bookmakers price S. Pieri to Win at 1.01 (implied 99.0%). Our experts give 97%, a fair price of 1.03 — an edge of -2.0 points.

Betting Predictions

Match Winner
S. Pieri to Win1.01
97% expert probability

Our experts give S. Pieri a 97% win probability on clay.

Implied 99%Select →
Match Winner
N. Toffanin to Win11.00
3% expert probability

Our experts give N. Toffanin a 3% win probability on clay.

Implied 9%Select →
🟤Total Games
Total Games Under 16.51.82
51% expert probability

Our experts make this 51% likely.

Implied 55%Select →
🟤Total Sets
Total Sets Under 2.51.08
86% expert probability

Our experts make this 86% likely.

Implied 93%Select →
First Set
S. Pieri wins 1st set1.05
89% expert probability

Our experts make this 89% likely.

Implied 95%Select →
Set Betting
S. Pieri 2-01.11
80% expert probability

Our experts' most likely scoreline.

Implied 90%Select →
Straight Sets
S. Pieri in straight sets1.11
84% expert probability

84% to win without dropping a set.

Implied 90%Select →
Games Handicap
S. Pieri -7.5 games1.76
57% expert probability

Games spread for the favourite (market price).

Implied 57%Select →

Match Preview

S. Pieri takes on N. Toffanin at the M25 Maribor, contested on clay. S. Pieri enters ranked #393 while N. Toffanin sits at #1195, a 802-place gulf that frames the matchup. It is a clash of contrasting recent fortunes, and the clay should have plenty to say about which way it turns.

S. Pieri is ranked #393 on the ITF tour with 125 ranking points.

N. Toffanin is ranked #1195 on the ITF tour with 11 ranking points.

S. Pieri and N. Toffanin have no prior tour-level meetings, adding an unknown to the read. Weighing rankings, form and the surface, our experts make S. Pieri the favourite at 97% to win, with N. Toffanin the live underdog if the price is right.

Why this pick

High

Ranking Advantage

S. Pieri (#393) is ranked 802 places above N. Toffanin (#1195).

The Players

S. Pieri
🇮🇹 S. Pieri
Italy

S. Pieri is a player from Italy, currently ranked ITF #393 with 125 ranking points.

Ranking
#393
Points
125

No surface data.

N. Toffanin
🇮🇹 N. Toffanin
Italy

N. Toffanin is a player from Italy, currently ranked ITF #1195 with 11 ranking points.

Ranking
#1195
Points
11

No surface data.

Player Overview

🇮🇹 S. PieriPlayer Overview
S. Pieri

S. Pieri is ranked ITF #393 with 125 ranking points.

Match Results: S. PieriAll tournaments

No recent matches.

🇮🇹 N. ToffaninPlayer Overview
N. Toffanin

N. Toffanin is ranked ITF #1195 with 11 ranking points.

Match Results: N. ToffaninAll tournaments

No recent matches.

Predictions are our experts' estimates for informational purposes. 18+ · Please gamble responsibly.