

A. Dougaz to Win
The bookmaker price makes A. Dougaz the favourite here, at a 55% win probability, despite a lower ranking (#520 vs #187).
Betting Predictions
Match WinnerOur experts give A. Dougaz a 55% win probability on hard.
Match WinnerOur experts give A. Guerrieri a 45% win probability on hard.
Our experts make this 65% likely.
Our experts make this 59% likely.
First SetOur experts make this 50% likely.
Set BettingOur experts' most likely scoreline.
Games HandicapGames spread for the favourite (market price).
Match Preview
A. Dougaz takes on A. Guerrieri at the US Open, contested on hard courts. A. Dougaz enters ranked #520 while A. Guerrieri sits at #187, a 333-place gulf that frames the matchup. It is a clash of contrasting recent fortunes, and the hard courts should have plenty to say about which way it turns.
A. Dougaz is ranked #520 on the ATP tour with 84 ranking points.
A. Guerrieri is ranked #187 on the ATP tour with 301 ranking points.
A. Dougaz and A. Guerrieri have no prior tour-level meetings, adding an unknown to the read. Weighing rankings, form and the surface, our experts make A. Dougaz the favourite at 55% to win, with A. Guerrieri the live underdog if the price is right.
Why this pick
Ranking Advantage
A. Guerrieri (#187) is ranked 333 places above A. Dougaz (#520).
The Players

A. Dougaz is a player from Tunisia, currently ranked ATP #520 with 84 ranking points.
No surface data.

A. Guerrieri is a player from Italy, currently ranked ATP #187 with 301 ranking points.
No surface data.
Player Overview

A. Dougaz is ranked ATP #520 with 84 ranking points.
No recent matches.

A. Guerrieri is ranked ATP #187 with 301 ranking points.
No recent matches.
Predictions are our experts' estimates for informational purposes. 18+ · Please gamble responsibly.
