ATP US OpenFinalQualifying🔵 Hard, Outdoor
D. Rincon
🇪🇸 D. Rincon
Spain
ATP #208
vs
T. Barrios Vera
🇨🇱 T. Barrios Vera
Chile
ATP #144
Thursday, 27 August 2026·17:00 CET
★ Our Pick · Match Winner

T. Vera to Win

The ranking edge (#144 vs #208) makes T. Vera the favourite, at a 67% win probability.

1.53
Best Odds
Value found: Bookmakers price T. Vera to Win at 1.53 (implied 65.4%). Our experts give 67%, a fair price of 1.48 — an edge of 2.0 points.

Betting Predictions

Match Winner
D. Rincon to Win2.40
33% expert probability

Our experts give D. Rincon a 33% win probability on hard.

Implied 42%Select →
Match Winner
T. Vera to Win1.53
67% expert probability

Our experts give T. Vera a 67% win probability on hard.

Implied 65%Select →
🔵Total Games
Total Games Over 211.65
56% expert probability

Our experts make this 56% likely.

Implied 61%Select →
🔵Total Sets
Total Sets Under 2.51.54
60% expert probability

Our experts make this 60% likely.

Implied 65%Select →
First Set
T. Vera wins 1st set1.60
58% expert probability

Our experts make this 58% likely.

Implied 63%Select →
Set Betting
T. Vera 2-02.37
38% expert probability

Our experts' most likely scoreline.

Implied 42%Select →
Games Handicap
T. Vera +0 games1.49
67% expert probability

Games spread for the favourite (market price).

Implied 67%Select →

Match Preview

D. Rincon takes on T. Barrios Vera at the US Open, contested on hard courts. D. Rincon enters ranked #208 while T. Vera sits at #144, a 64-place gulf that frames the matchup. It is a clash of contrasting recent fortunes, and the hard courts should have plenty to say about which way it turns.

T. Barrios Vera is ranked #144 on the ATP tour with 395 ranking points.

D. Rincon is ranked #208 on the ATP tour with 270 ranking points.

D. Rincon and T. Vera have no prior tour-level meetings, adding an unknown to the read. Weighing rankings, form and the surface, our experts make T. Vera the favourite at 67% to win, with D. Rincon the live underdog if the price is right.

Why this pick

High

Ranking Advantage

T. Vera (#144) is ranked 64 places above D. Rincon (#208).

The Players

D. Rincon
🇪🇸 D. Rincon
Spain

D. Rincon is a player from Spain, currently ranked ATP #208 with 270 ranking points.

Ranking
#208
Points
270

No surface data.

T. Barrios Vera
🇨🇱 T. Barrios Vera
Chile

T. Barrios Vera is a player from Chile, currently ranked ATP #144 with 395 ranking points.

Ranking
#144
Points
395

No surface data.

Player Overview

🇪🇸 D. RinconPlayer Overview
D. Rincon

D. Rincon is ranked ATP #208 with 270 ranking points.

Match Results: D. RinconAll tournaments

No recent matches.

🇨🇱 T. Barrios VeraPlayer Overview
T. Barrios Vera

T. Barrios Vera is ranked ATP #144 with 395 ranking points.

Match Results: T. Barrios VeraAll tournaments

No recent matches.

Predictions are our experts' estimates for informational purposes. 18+ · Please gamble responsibly.