ATP US OpenFinalQualifying🔵 Hard, Outdoor
J. Fearnley
🇬🇧 J. Fearnley
United Kingdom
ATP #100
vs
J. Rodionov
🇦🇹 J. Rodionov
Austria
ATP #143
Thursday, 27 August 2026·17:00 CET
★ Our Pick · Match Winner

J. Fearnley to Win

The ranking edge (#100 vs #143) makes J. Fearnley the favourite, at a 78% win probability.

1.31
Best Odds
Value found: Bookmakers price J. Fearnley to Win at 1.31 (implied 76.3%). Our experts give 78%, a fair price of 1.28 — an edge of 2.0 points.

Betting Predictions

Match Winner
J. Fearnley to Win1.31
78% expert probability

Our experts give J. Fearnley a 78% win probability on hard.

Implied 76%Select →
Match Winner
J. Rodionov to Win3.30
22% expert probability

Our experts give J. Rodionov a 22% win probability on hard.

Implied 30%Select →
🔵Total Games
Total Games Over 19.51.49
61% expert probability

Our experts make this 61% likely.

Implied 67%Select →
🔵Total Sets
Total Sets Under 2.51.47
63% expert probability

Our experts make this 63% likely.

Implied 68%Select →
First Set
J. Fearnley wins 1st set1.38
68% expert probability

Our experts make this 68% likely.

Implied 72%Select →
Set Betting
J. Fearnley 2-01.83
49% expert probability

Our experts' most likely scoreline.

Implied 55%Select →
Games Handicap
J. Fearnley -3 games1.53
65% expert probability

Games spread for the favourite (market price).

Implied 65%Select →

Match Preview

J. Fearnley takes on J. Rodionov at the US Open, contested on hard courts. J. Fearnley enters ranked #100 while J. Rodionov sits at #143, a 43-place gulf that frames the matchup. It is a clash of contrasting recent fortunes, and the hard courts should have plenty to say about which way it turns.

J. Fearnley is ranked #100 on the ATP tour with 623 ranking points.

J. Rodionov is ranked #143 on the ATP tour with 395 ranking points.

J. Fearnley and J. Rodionov have no prior tour-level meetings, adding an unknown to the read. Weighing rankings, form and the surface, our experts make J. Fearnley the favourite at 78% to win, with J. Rodionov the live underdog if the price is right.

Why this pick

High

Ranking Advantage

J. Fearnley (#100) is ranked 43 places above J. Rodionov (#143).

The Players

J. Fearnley
🇬🇧 J. Fearnley
United Kingdom

J. Fearnley is a player from United Kingdom, currently ranked ATP #100 with 623 ranking points.

Ranking
#100
Points
623

No surface data.

J. Rodionov
🇦🇹 J. Rodionov
Austria

J. Rodionov is a player from Austria, currently ranked ATP #143 with 395 ranking points.

Ranking
#143
Points
395

No surface data.

Player Overview

🇬🇧 J. FearnleyPlayer Overview
J. Fearnley

J. Fearnley is ranked ATP #100 with 623 ranking points.

Match Results: J. FearnleyAll tournaments

No recent matches.

🇦🇹 J. RodionovPlayer Overview
J. Rodionov

J. Rodionov is ranked ATP #143 with 395 ranking points.

Match Results: J. RodionovAll tournaments

No recent matches.

Predictions are our experts' estimates for informational purposes. 18+ · Please gamble responsibly.